Analysis of sensitivity of economic model to assumptions of frequency of giant cell arteritis (GCA) in cases with periarterial lymphocyte infiltration (PALI) and relative costs of diagnostic strategies
Assumption (other variables held constant) | Marginal cost* of strategy B compared with strategy A | Marginal cost* of strategy C compared with strategy A | Marginal cost* of strategy B compared with strategy C |
---|---|---|---|
*In Welcan units. | |||
CL, confidence limit. | |||
GCA at upper 95% CL of frequency in cases with PALI | 21.84 | 7.01 | 38.06 |
GCA at observed frequency in cases with PALI | 83.5 | 21 | 208.5 |
GCA at lower 95% CL of frequency in cases with PALI | No extra cases detected | No extra cases detected | No extra cases detected |
Strategy B costs 4 Welcan units/case (rather than 4.5) | 55.67 | 21 | 125 |